Recent posts

Dixon Coles Model

11 minute read

The Poisson distribution is great and all, but we can do better! In this post we discuss two popular improvements to the standard Poisson model for football ...

What’s the Score?

11 minute read

Combining the world’s most popular sport with everyone’s favourite discrete probability distribution, this post predicts football matches using the Poisson d...

Making the Middle Count

8 minute read

But what if Salah and Aguero don’t score? This post makes sure you’re prepared for when they don’t.